- Market: US stocks (S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100)
- Direction: upward
- 4-year backtesting in different market periods: bullish, bearish, sideways…
- Annualized average profit of +40.29%
- Annualized average losses of -20.11%
- Annualized profit/loss ratio of 2.01
- Trade reliability of 0.48
- Positive-to-negative trades ratio of 1.55, with a reliability of 50%
- Approximate number of monthly trades: 13.90
- Data by year:
2021 → 24,62 %
2022 → 20,93 %
2023 → 13,35 %
2024 → 14,72 %
2025 → 28,39 % - Baikal Strategy Summary
General characteristics
Interpretation of results
- Consistency: The strategy shows positive gains every year, despite adverse market conditions (2022, for example, was a bearish year for many assets).
- Risk management: With an average annual loss of ~20% and gains of ~40%, the Return/Risk ratio is very positive (2:1).
System reliability
- A 50% hit rate may seem fair, but if the winning trades yield higher profits than the losses, profitability remains high.
- Frequency: 13.9 trades per month indicates a semi-active strategy, perfect for swing traders or short-term traders.
Conclusion
The BAIKAL RSN – Resistances-Supports-Network strategy proves to be:
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- Robust, as it adapts to different market environments.
- Efficient, with controlled risk and sustained profitability.
- Balanced in the number of trades, neither too high (which would cause overtrading) nor too low.
Baikal RSN