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General characteristics

  1. Market: US stocks (S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100)
  2. Direction: upward
  3. 4-year backtesting in different market periods: bullish, bearish, sideways…
  4. Annualized average profit of +40.29%
  5. Annualized average losses of -20.11%
  6. Annualized profit/loss ratio of 2.01
  7. Trade reliability of 0.48
  8. Positive-to-negative trades ratio of 1.55, with a reliability of 50%
  9. Approximate number of monthly trades: 13.90
  10. Data by year:
    2021 → 24,62 %
    2022 → 20,93 %
    2023 → 13,35 %
    2024 → 14,72 %
    2025 → 28,39 %
  11. Baikal Strategy Summary

Interpretation of results

  • Consistency: The strategy shows positive gains every year, despite adverse market conditions (2022, for example, was a bearish year for many assets).
  • Risk management: With an average annual loss of ~20% and gains of ~40%, the Return/Risk ratio is very positive (2:1).

System reliability

  • A 50% hit rate may seem fair, but if the winning trades yield higher profits than the losses, profitability remains high.
  • Frequency: 13.9 trades per month indicates a semi-active strategy, perfect for swing traders or short-term traders.

Conclusion

The BAIKAL RSN – Resistances-Supports-Network strategy proves to be:

    • Robust, as it adapts to different market environments.
    • Efficient, with controlled risk and sustained profitability.
    • Balanced in the number of trades, neither too high (which would cause overtrading) nor too low.
Baikal RSN